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DeSmith’s .907 and .911 Explain What Dallas Is Actually Buying

The two save percentages describe different samples, but together they make Casey DeSmith’s extension a measured bet on workload and tandem stability rather than a guarantee of future efficiency.

Sasha Yoder

October 1, 20263 min read

A .907 save percentage sits directly beside a .911, and the temptation is to treat the difference as either evidence of decline or proof that the smaller number does not matter. Casey DeSmith’s figures require a less dramatic reading. The .907 belongs to last season alone; the .911 covers his two-year Dallas tenure.

That distinction gives Wednesday’s extension a sensible shape: the Stars are paying for work they have seen, not a permanent promise about every save that follows.

The recent season supplied a substantial sample. DeSmith played 30 games and started 28, going 15-8-6. He logged one shutout; his goals-against average stood at 2.43.

His .907 save percentage was serviceable, though it did not place him among the league’s statistical royalty. The larger point is that Dallas entrusted him with a meaningful share of the schedule, rather than limiting him to the occasional appearance when circumstances demanded it.

That distinction matters for a tandem. A goaltender can post an attractive rate over a handful of outings without showing whether he can handle repeated starts, changing opponents and the accumulated demands of an NHL season. DeSmith’s 28 starts offer a more practical answer.

He was used often enough for Dallas to learn what his ordinary workload looks like, and the club received a winning record during it. That does not erase the .907, but it keeps the number from becoming the entire evaluation.

His two-season Stars ledger is a little more encouraging. DeSmith is 29-16-8 for Dallas with three shutouts and a .911 save rate; his goals-against average was 2.50. Those totals include the 2025-26 campaign, so they should not be mistaken for a separate, superior version of the same season.

They blend his stronger and weaker stretches. The modest rise from .907 to .911 says the full Dallas body of work has been slightly better than the latest snapshot, not that his performance is following a dependable upward line.

The strongest argument for retaining him comes from the road. Over the past two seasons, among NHL goalies with at least 10 road appearances, DeSmith’s 2.34 road goals-against average tied for second, according to the Stars. His .918 road save percentage ranked third in that group.

That combination is more persuasive than a short highlight run because it spans two seasons and points to results that held up away from the familiar setting. Team defending, opponents and usage still influence those figures, but they give Dallas a meaningful reason to trust the broader sample.

There was a memorable sequence inside last season, too. From Oct. 26 through Dec. 23, DeSmith went 9-0-4 during a 13-game point streak that the Stars identified at the time as a franchise record. That run documented strong results during a sustained stretch in which Dallas collected points.

It also had boundaries. Thirteen games can establish credibility; it cannot settle what a 35-year-old goaltender will look like across two future seasons.

Only after that on-ice case does the contract make sense. Dallas announced in Frisco that DeSmith had agreed to a two-year extension totaling $5 million, averaging $2.5 million per season. The new terms begin in 2027-28 and continue through 2028-29. His existing agreement covers the coming 2026-27 season, which opens Friday against St. Louis.

The timing preserves an arrangement general manager Jim Nill had described as a priority. Nill specifically cited DeSmith’s tandem with Jake Oettinger, while coach Glen Gulutzan has praised the goaltender. Dallas could have waited for another season of information, particularly with DeSmith entering it at 35.

That route might have clarified whether last season’s .907 was a temporary dip, a warning sign or simply normal variation.

Instead, the Stars chose to secure a known quantity before DeSmith could test unrestricted free agency in 2027. The purchase is reasonable because the workload is real, the two-season record is credible and the road numbers add substance. It is still a finite bet. Dallas has retained a goalie capable of carrying meaningful starts alongside Oettinger; it has not frozen .911 into the future.

Sources

Dallas Stars: team announcement

NHL: DeSmith contract report

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Sasha Yoder

Sasha Yoder covers Richardson high school and area college sports.

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